Iran War
THE IRAN WAR HAS BECOME A WORLD WAR RISK
A wider war no longer requires a decision by one leader to begin it. It can emerge from accumulated reactions by states and armed groups answering the last escalation.
Autonomous Warfare
Iran War
IRAN IS LEARNING TO MOVE AMERICAN MILITARY POWER
The most revealing measure of Iran’s progress is not how much American equipment it destroys. It is how often Iran determines where American forces must go next.
Iran War
IRAN MAY BE WINNING THE ESCALATION GAME AND LOSING THE STRATEGIC ONE
Iran is expanding the battlefield faster than the United States can close it. But every new success gives more countries a reason to oppose what Iran is building.
Iran War
AMERICA BUILT AN EXQUISITE MILITARY FOR A WORLD THAT NO LONGER EXISTS
The United States built extraordinary capability into a relatively small number of expensive systems. Its adversaries are learning how to distribute capability across cheaper, expendable ones.
Iran War
IRAN KEEPS EXPOSING NEW AMERICAN VULNERABILITIES—THE PROBLEM IS WE DON’T KNOW WHAT COMES NEXT
The United States may not be fighting a fixed Iranian arsenal. It may be fighting an Iranian learning curve.
Iran War
THE ERA OF AMERICAN MILITARY IMPUNITY IS ENDING
America can still project extraordinary military power. What may be ending is its ability to do so without exposing scarce, expensive assets to increasingly capable asymmetric threats.
Autonomous Warfare
President Trump Just Defined the Iran War — and Created a Problem for Himself
President Trump called it “the war with Iran,” placed victory in the future and tied that victory to Iran's nuclear program and lower oil prices. Those words may have consequences far beyond gasoline prices.
Autonomous Warfare
AI Is Changing the Mathematics of Defense
When machines can attack, observe, learn and adapt continuously, resilience may matter more than the promise of an impermeable defense.
Autonomous Warfare
The Industrialization of Cyberattack Has Begun
AI agents, stolen computing capacity and reusable attack playbooks are turning cyber operations from bespoke campaigns into scalable industrial systems.
Autonomous Warfare
When Defending the Rear Weakens the Front
Cheap precision weapons are forcing militaries to spread finite defenses across an expanding map—creating a new strategic vulnerability.
Autonomous Warfare
The Dawn of Autonomous Combat Mass
Cheap unmanned systems, AI perception and software-driven production are converging into a new form of military power: autonomous combat mass.